Album of the Year
Will Win - Beyonce "Lemonade"
Could Win - Adele "25" or Drake "Views"
Should Win - Beyonce "Lemonade"
Commentary - Is this finally Beyonce's year? Rap albums historically struggle here, but Drake's album sales alone keep him in the running, and while 25 was another smash hit for Adele, most people agree that it was not quite the level of Album of the Year winner 21. I think that this is the year that Beyonce finally wins the top prize. Her work on the album was nominated across an incredible amount of genres, showing a lot of support, and in terms of buzz, album sales, and headlines, this was the year of Queen B. I expect her to finally take her well-deserved Album of the Year crown.
Record of the Year
Will Win - Adele "Hello"
Could Win - Beyonce "Formation" or Twenty One Pilots "Stressed Out"
Should Win - Beyonce "Formation" or Adele "Hello"
Commentary - I still have not gotten Adele's Hello out of my head, and its been like a year a half since it premiered. Also, this category has lately rewarded bigger songs, after years of giving songs like Please Read the Letter, Here We Go Again, and Clocks the reward. This fits in with the last two winners: Stay With Me and Uptown Funk. It was inescapable and wildly popular. However, watch out for a potential Beyonce domination or the rock band of the bunch Twenty One Pilots, as rock songs have historically done well in this category.
Song of The Year
Will Win - Adele Atkins and Greg Kurstin "Hello"
Could Win - Justin Bieber, Benjamin Levin, and Ed Sheeran "Love Yourself" or Khalif Brown, Asheton Hogan, Beyoncé Knowles & Michael L. Williams II "Formation"
Should Win - Formation
Commentary - Beyonce has surprised her before, so don't be shocked if she wins. And last year's winner Ed Sheeran could take it again for Love Yourself, the first Justin Bieber song that has actually made a dent here in the general categories (and Sheeran's name alone could be enough). But in the end, I think that Hello is going to be popular enough to do what Rolling in the Deep did, and sweep both categories.
Best New Artist
Will Win - The Chainsmokers
Could Win - Chance the Rapper or Maren Morris
Should Win - Chance the Rapper or Maren Morris
Commentary - Morris and Chance the Rapper are easily the two best of the bunch, and a win for either would be great, and is not out of the realm of possibility. But The Chainsmokers have lit up the charts, and are the most popular of the bunch, which has tended to be the trend in recent years.