Sunday, December 20, 2009

State of the Race: Christmas Edition Part 3

Best Actress
This race seems to be locking up like the rest of them, but the fourth or fifth spot is still up in the air. In my opinion, the road to the Oscar win is a three way split between Meryl Streep, Carey Mulligan, and Gabby Sidibe. Meryl, in my opinion, is the frontrunner here. She has lots of critical support, and between her and Mulligan, the fact that she is Meryl Streep could give her the prize. However, a couple of years ago, Marion Cotillard, the newcomer, beat out the old favorite in Julie Christie, meaning Carey Mulligan could easily pull this one out. The darkhorse here is Sidibe. We still don't know how Precious will go over with the Academy, but my guess is that her meanigful performance could see both her and Mo'Nique the prize. But of course there are two more spots. I am starting to think that Sandra Bullock is a lock. She has had an incredible year, and is getting a lot of support, I say she's in. The fifth spot for me is completely open up. Helen Mirren has the best shot for The Last Station. But don't count out Marion Cotillard (If they decide to let her go lead), and Saoirse Ronan, who with Tucci is the best part of LB, and Emily Blunt for The Young Victoria. To Recap:

Sandra Bullock "The Blind Side"
Helen Mirren "The Last Station"
Carey Mulligan "An Education"
Gabourey Sidibe "Precious"
Meryl Streep "Julie & Julia"

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