Saturday, December 19, 2009

State of the Race: Christmas Edition Part 1

So I FINALLY finished exams, and am currently enjoying my Christmas Break. So here is a look at the State of the Race, after this crazy week with tons of critics awards and nominations. Here is a look at the damage done:

Best Supporting Actress
Right now, it looks as if Mo'Nique is unstoppable for that Oscar, or is she? She has been racking up critics awards like candy at Halloween, but recent stories appearing about her refusal to come to awards ceremonies, and other events without being paid. Now I understand she has a busy schedule with her new talk show, and I personally that that is a valid excuse within itself. But requesting money to campaign to win the highest honor bestowed on actors, could cost her the prize. But of course, she is just one piece to this puzzle. While I'm tempted to claim no locks, I am starting to think that there will be no split vote problems between Anna Kendrick and Vera Farmiga. Consistently they have appeared together at the Globes, SAG, etc. The question is, can one of them win? Kendrick seems to be the critics favorite, but the older, more conservative Academy may reward Farmiga instead. The next movie that is looking at more than one nomination is Nine. With the BFCA picking Cotillard, who has been campaigning lead but could pull a Kate Winslet, and the Golden Globe/SAG picking Cruz, it could be interesting to see whose name is called, if anyone's. So that is potentially four, potentially five, but if that is four, then who gets the fifth spot? Diane Kruger pulled a shocker at the SAG that I don't think will repeat, but there is definitely IB support. Samantha Morton is incredible in The Messenger and could pull another upset nomination, but it seems as if Woody is getting all the noise for the film. Finally then there is Julianne Moore. While she missed at the SAG, she is well like among the Academy, and I think her status will get her that last spot. So the recap:

Penelope Cruz "Nine"
Vera Farmiga "Up in the Air"
Anna Kendrick "Up in the Air"
Julianne Moore "A Single Man"
Mo'Nique "Precious"

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