Friday, July 25, 2025

The Oscar Narrative: First 2026 Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actress

First 2026 Nomination Predictions
Emily Blunt "The Smashing Machine"
Laura Dern "Jay Kelly"
Ayo Edebiri "After the Hunt"
Ariana Grande "Wicked: For Good"
Emma Stone "Bugonia"

Other Contenders - Gwyneth Paltrow "Marty Supreme", Glenn Close "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery", Elle Fanning "Sentimental Value", Wunmi Mosaku "Sinners", Hailee Steinfeld "Sinners", Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas "Sentimental Value", Mari Yamamoto "Rental Family", Alicia Silverstone "Bugonia", Jennifer Lopez "Kiss of the Spider Woman", Sissy Spacek "Die My Love", Felicity Jones "Train Dreams", Teyana Taylor "One Battle After Another", Laura Dern "Is This Thing On", Glenn Close "The Summer Book", America Ferrera "The Lost Bus", Michaela Coel "Mother Mary", Kerry Condon "F1", Andrene Ward-Hammond "Sinners", Tenaj L. Jackson "Sinners", Jodi Comer "28 Years Later", Margaret Qualley "Blue Moon", Rebecca Ferguson "A House of Dynamite", Gaby Hoffman "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere", Amy Adams "Klara and the Sun", Mia Goth "Frankenstein", Tilda Swinton "The Ballad of the Small Player", Jamie Lee Curtis "Ella McCay", Thomasin McKenzie "Ann Lee", Nina Hoss "Hedda", Fala Chen "Ballad of a Small Player", Chase Infiniti "One Battle After Another", Emily Watson "Hamnet", Marisa Abela "Black Bag", Naomi Ackie "Sorry, Baby", Joan Chen "The Wedding Banquet", Elizabeth Chisela "On Becoming a Guinea Fowl", Maya Erskine "Sacramento", Zarna Garg "A Nice Indian Boy", Callina Liang "Presence", Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Thunderbolts*", Sunita Mani "A Nice Indian Boy", Carey Mulligan "The Ballad of Wallis Island", Kristen Stewart "Sacramento", Yuh-Jung Youn "The Wedding Banquet"

Commentary - The Fall Festivals are just around the corner, and personally, after the drought of summer, they cannot come soon enough! Before they shake up the landscape, let's see where the early buzz is landing. If For Good is as well-received as the first part, expect Ariana Grande to return. Emily Blunt finally landed an Oscar nomination, and usually, that means that Oscar voters repeat. Benny Safdie's latest The Smashing Machine is intriguing, and Blunt is said to have a major role. The only question is, lead or supporting? Same for Emma Stone, who returns with Yorgos Lanthimos, will their partnership end with another Oscar nomination. Laura Dern and Noah Baumbach return after she won for Marriage Story. Finally, Ayo Edebiri has skyrocketed to fame, and has a huge role in Luca Guadagnino's After the Hunt. Beyond those five, there are tons of potentials. Glenn Close could finally win for the Knives Out sequel. Josh Safdie joins his brother in the race this year, and previous winner Gwyneth Paltrow could return. Projects like Sentimental Value, Sinners, and One Battle After Another offer a lot of options, that could crash the race. Other previous winners and nominees including Sissy Spacek, America Ferrera, Kerry Condon, Amy Adams, Tilda Swinton, Jamie Lee Curtis, Emily Watson, Carey Mullian, YJ, and Kristen Stewart could return. Well known veterans such as Elle Fanning, Jennifer Lopez, Alicia Silverstone, Margaret Qualley, Mia Goth, Nina Hoss, Thomasin McKenzie, Naomi Ackie, Joan Chen, Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Rebecca Ferguson, Gaby Hoffmann, and Jodi Comer could finally hear their name called. Finally, outsiders and newcomers like Mari Yamamoto, Fala Chen, Marisa Abela, Elzabeth Chisela, Callina Liang, Maya Erskine, Sunita Mani, and Zarna Garg are hoping to breakthrough. 

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