Sunday, July 6, 2025

2025 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Javier Bardem "Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story"
Owen Cooper "Adolescence"
Rob Delaney "Dying for Sex"
Rhenzy Feliz "The Penguin"
Peter Saarsgard "Presumed Innocent"
Ashley Walters "Adolescence"

Other Contenders - Hugh Grant "Bridget Jones Diary: Mad About the Boy", Brian Cox "The Parenting", Clancy Brown "The Penguin", Jay Duplass "Dying for Sex", Sacha Baron Cohen "Disclaimer", Kodi Smit-McPhee "Disclaimer", O-T Fagbenle "Presumed Innocent", Jesse Plemmons "Zero Day", Dule Hill "Good American Family", Wagner Moura "Dope Thief"

Commentary - This is such an interesting race this year, and I'm not sure how the Academy is going to go. I am leaning into big names and popular projects, but I still feel like I am missing something. We know that Owen Cooper is a lock for Adolescence, and his biggest competition is probably Oscar winner Javier Bardem, who did very well during the winter awards shows. Beyond that, I think the next four slots could be a combination of about 10 folks. I am going with Rob Delaney, who is great in Dying for Sex, and the show is popular, and Ashley Walters, as I think Adolescence could have a lot of down ballot support in a weaker year for these categories. The Penguin is going to do well, and I think that Rhenzy Felix will get in. Peter Saarsgard in a big name, and Presumed Innocent could do well in below the line categories. But I do not feel good about that nod. Hugh Grant could get in, but will Emmy voters reward Mad About the Boy outside of the top categories? Brian Cox's The Parenting is not well reviewed, but its got HBO behind and its Brian Cox. Clancy Brown or Jay Duplass could join their co-stars, and somehow I think we are overlooking Smit-McPhee and Cohen in Disclaimer, which could surprise. 

Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Erin Doherty "Adolescence" 
Lesley Manville "Disclaimer"
Deirdre O'Connell "The Penguin"
Chloe Sevigny "Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story"
Jenny Slate "Dying for Sex"
Christine Tremarco "Adolescence" 

Other Contenders - Ruth Negga " Presumed Innocent", Imogen Faith Reed "Good American Family", Leila George "Disclaimer", Cristin Milioti "Black Mirror", Julianne Moore "Sirens", Angela Bassett "Zero Day"

Commentary - In this category, I feel good about Doherty, O'Connell, and Slate, and I think the Emmy comes down to one of them. The other three categories are a toss up. Sevigny is a big name, and Monsters has done well on the circuit. Termarco, I think will benefit from Adolescence's popularity. Manville is a legend. But Ruth Negga is an appealing name on the ballot, Reed had a big bold role, George is great, Moore and Bassett are legends, and Milioti could benefit from her Penguin popularity and get double nods, it has happened many times before. 

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