Pre-Guild Nomination Predictions
Robert DeNiro "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Robert Downey Jr. "Oppenheimer"
Ryan Gosling "Barbie"
Charles Melton "May December"
Mark Ruffalo "Poor Things"
Other Contenders - Willem Dafoe "Poor Things", Sterling K. Brown "American Fiction", Dominic Sessa "The Holdovers", Colman Domingo "The Color Purple", Glenn Howerton "BlackBerry", Paul Mescal "All of Us Strangers", Holt McCallany "The Iron Claw"
Commentary - Again, right now five guys have crossed over between the Globes and the Critics Choice. Three of them continue to be solid contenders across the board, DeNiro, Downey Jr., and Gosling, and I still think the Oscar could be between them. But Charles Melton has come on strong in the critics awards, and is one to watch for. Finally, Mark Ruffalo has managed to get both groups, but not his co-star Willem Dafoe. Dafoe though cannot be discounted, and he has surprised on Oscar morning before. Sterling K. Brown's nomination at the Critics Choice cannot be discounted, and American Fiction has finally premiered, which should help his buzz. Dominic Sessa is another intriguing option, especially as both Randolph and Giamatti do well for The Holdovers. The Color Purple did not do well with The Globes, which was a shock, but Colman Domingo could benefit from SAG. Finally, I would watch out for Paul Mescal, Glenn Howerton, and latecomer to the race Holt McCallany.
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