Tuesday, December 19, 2023

The Oscar Narrative - Pre-Guild Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actress

Pre-Guild Nomination Predictions
Emily Blunt "Oppenheimer"
Danielle Brooks "The Color Purple"
Jodie Foster "Nyad"
Julianne Moore "May December"
Da'Vine Joy Randolph "The Holdovers"

Other Contenders - America Ferrera "Barbie", Rosamund Pike "Saltburn", Rachel McAdams "Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret", Taraji P. Henson "The Color Purple", Erika Alexander "American Fiction", Sandra Huller "The Zone of Interest", Penelope Cruz "Ferrari", Viola Davis "Air", Cara Jade Myers "Killers of the Flower Moon"

Commentary - Five actresses got both Critics Choice and Golden Globes. Those five, Blunt, Brooks, Foster, Moore, and Randolph, are my current predictions. Randolph is far out front if the critics have a say, as she has swept the awards so far. But, I know how this works, and SAG and BAFTA will weigh in and shift the race. The Globes nominated Rosamund Pike (a favorite of theirs), and Critics Choice nominated America Ferrera (a real spoiler). Rachel McAdams could be a real spoiler, as Are You There God, has done relatively well on the critical circuit. Taraji could join Danielle, Erika Alexander should be in the conversation, Penelope Cruz is alway a favorite, as is Viola Davis, and Cara Jade Myers could ride the love for Killers of the Flower Moon. The one I am paying the most attention to though is Sandra Huller. BAFTA could come through big for her, and her could end up a double nominee, especially as Moore and Foster don't feel as strong in slots 4 and 5. 

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