Olivia Colman "The Lost Daughter"
Penelope Cruz "Parallel Mothers"
Lady Gaga "House of Gucci"
Frances McDormand "The Tragedy of Macbeth"
Kristen Stewart "Spencer"
Other Contenders - Jennifer Lawrence "Don't Look Up", Jessica Chastain "The Eyes of Tammy Faye", Jennifer Hudson "Respect", Halle Berry "Bruised", Nicole Kidman "Being the Ricardos", Rooney Mara "Nightmare Alley", Rachel Zegler "West Side Story", Tessa Thompson "Passing", Emilia Jones "CODA", Alana Haim "Licorice Pizza", Rachel Sennot "Shiva Baby", Renate Reinsve "The Worst Person in the World", Sandra Bullock "The Unforgiveable", Emily Blunt "A Quiet Place Part II", Mary Twala "This is Not a Burial, It's a Resurrection", Agatha Rousselle "Titane", Emma Stone "Cruella", Marion Cotillard "Annette", Taylour Paige "Zola", Vicky Krieps "Bergman Island", Jodie Comer "The Last Duel", Chante Adams "A Journal for Jordan"
Commentary - This race is shaping up to be a battle of previous nominees and winners, with a few new folks hoping to breakthrough. So far we know that Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart, Frances McDormand, and Penelope Cruz are big contenders, and their films are set to do well across the board. Lady Gaga is the unseen wildcard, but it is clear from marketing that the film's team think she is going to be the big star for the film. Jennifer Lawrence could return if Don't Look Up does as well as Adam McKay's recent films. Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Hudson are great in mediocre movies. But we have seen actors reward great performances despite overall film quality, especially in this category. Nicole Kidman is Lucille Ball, Halle Berry looks great, and Rooney Mara is pairing up with Guillermo Del Toro. There are some young actresses hoping to breakthrough the glut of veterans including Tessa Thompson, Rachel Zegler, Emilia Jones, Alana Haim, Rachel Sennot, Taylour Paige, Jodie Comer, Agatha Rousselle, and Chante Adams. Emily Blunt is still looking for her first Oscar nod, Sandra Bullock, Emma Stone, and Marion Cotillard are all previous winners, and I hope voters (they won't) remember the late, great African screen legend Mary Twala.
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