Adam McKay "Don't Look Up"
Denis Villeneuve "Dune"
Ridley Scott "House of Gucci"
Joel Coen "The Tragedy of Macbeth"
David O. Russell "Untitled David O. Russell"
Other Contenders - Paul Thomas Anderson "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson", Guillermo Del Toro "Nightmare Alley", Jane Campion "The Power of the Dog", Steven Spielberg "West Side Story", Asghar Farhadi "A Hero", Sian Heder "CODA", Lin-Manuel Miranda "Tick, Tick...Boom", Pedro Almodovar "Parallel Mothers", Rebecca Hall "Passing", Clint Eastwood "Cry Macho", Wes Anderson "The French Dispatch", Aaron Sorkin "Being the Ricardos", Denzel Washington "A Journal for Jordan", Pablo Lorrain "Spencer", Michael Showalter "The Eyes of Tammy Faye", Paul Schrader "The Card Counter", John Krasinski “A Quiet Place Part II”, Joe Wright "Cyrano", David Lowery "The Green Knight", Chloe Zhao "The Eternals", Stephen Chbosky "Dear Evan Hansen", Questlove “Summer of Soul (...Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)”, Heidi Ewing “I Carry You With Me”, Pablo Sorrentino "The Hand of God", Taika Waiiti "Next Goal Wins", Julia Ducournau "Titane", Kenneth Branagh "Belfast", Jonas Poher Rasmussen "Flee", Jon M. Chu "In the Heights", Mike Mills "C'Mon, C'Mon" George Clooney "The Tender Bar", Sean Baker "Red Rocket", Eva Husson "Mothering Sunday", Janicza Bravo “Zola”, Francois Ozon “Summer of 85”, Sean Penn "Flag Day", Cary Joji Fukunaga "No Time to Die", David Gordon Green "Halloween Kills", Edgar Wright "Last Night in Soho", Halle Berry "Bruised"
Commentary - So many contenders, my top five right now are placeholders to see how everything is going to shake down. Joel Coen is going solo with Frances McDormand and Denzel Washington, this has Oscar written all over it, and he has won this award before. Ridley Scott is still overdue for an Oscar and the first trailer for House of Gucci seems promising. It might finally be his time (he also has The Last Duel). Denis Villeneuve has yet to make a bad movie, and Dune might be the genre piece that breaks through. Finally, while critics can be mixed on their films, both Adam McKay and David O. Russell have a signature style that has done with the Academy voters before, including this branch, and both their projects are stacked in terms of the talent on and off the screen. But there are a lot of folks hoping to take their slots. Guillermo Del Toro returns after his Oscar win, Paul Thomas Anderson was nominated for his last film, Jane Campion's film is getting a ton of buzz, and you can never ever count out Steven Spielberg. There are previous nominees and winners like Pedro Almodovar, Clint Eastwood, Wes Anderson, Taika Waititi, and George Clooney. Female directors like Rebecca Hall, Heidi Ewing, Janizca Bravo, Halle Berry, Eva Husson, Julia Ducournau, and Sian Heder are hoping to continue to uptick in female filmmaker recognition. Aaron Sorkin hopes to avenge his snub from last year, and Lin-Manuel Miranda is looking to breakthrough as a big screen director. Indie and foreign contenders include Asghar Fahardi, Pablo Sorrentino, Michael Showalter, Pablo Lorrain, Paul Schrader, Questlove, Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Francois Ozon, Sean Penn, Mike Mills, and Sean Baker. Finally, bigger films and genre pieces are hoping to have their work recognized by Chloe Zhao, John Krasinski, Stephen Chbosky, Denzel Washington, Joe Wright, David Lowery, Kenneth Branagh, Jon M. Chu, Cary Joji Fukunaga, David Gordan Green, and Edgar Wright.
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