Will Win - Frances McDormand "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Could Win - Sally Hawkins "The Shape of Water"
Should Win - McDormand or Saoirse Ronan "Lady Bird"
Commentary - McDormand is an uncoventional person. She doesn't kiss ass, she doesn't mince words, and when it comes to the naturalistic nature of the Oscar campaign, she doesn't play their game. But Frances McDormand is one of our finest actresses, and deserves to be among those who have won more than one Oscar. So in this case, it doesn't matter that she doesn't play their game, she is a league and has earned the right not to half to. She has won the Globe, SAG, BAFTA, and Critics Choice, she will most likely add a second Oscar to her mantle by week's end.