Will Win - Allison Janney "I, Tonya"
Could Win - Laurie Metcalf "Lady Bird"
Should Win - Metcalf or Janney
Commentary - Janney had won her share of critics awards, but after the Globes her stock rose quickly and it rose fast. She has won the Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, and even BAFTA up against hometown favorite Lesley Manville, and honestly I cannot see any one else, at this point, upsetting her. There was a flicker of hope for Laurie Metcalf at one point, but it has been months since she has won an award. Janney is a beloved veteran who has racked up quite an impressive list of scene-stealing roles in indie comedies. She has a flashy role that is clearly awards gold, and I think she will be finish the race on top.