Will Win - Nathaniel Parker "Wolf Hall Parts 1 and 2"
Could Win - Micah Stock "It's Only a Play" or Richard McCabe "The Audience"
Commentary - This is one of those categories that seems all over the board. Richard McCabe for The Audience and even Matthew Beard for Skylight are not out of the question, but if I had to boil it down to two, I would put it between Micah Stock and Nathaniel Parker. Both have great reviews, and Stock is the only cast member to get nominated for a Tony, in his Broadway debut, and in a cast that includes Oscar Winner F. Murray Abraham, Two-time Tony winner Matthew Broderick, Tony and Emmy winner Stockard Channing, and Emmy winner Megan Mullally. That makes him a real threat, and a great way to honor a burgeoning new talent. But I think that the more popular Wolf Hall, and the well-received performance of Nathaniel Parker. This is one that might change between now and the final list, but for now it is Parker in the lead.