Saturday, June 11, 2011

Tony Award Predictions

Here are my predictions for this weekend's Tony Awards. Enjoy!

Best Musical
Will Win/Should Win - The Book of Mormon
Commentary - Sister Act and The Scottsboro Boys were both worthy efforts, but this year has been dubbed the "Mormon Moment", and this ridiculous and hilarious musical is set to clean up with plenty of hardware.

Best Revival of a Musical
Will Win/Should Win - Anything Goes
Commentary - With only two nominees, this really is a 50/50 shot, but the consensus seems to be Anything Goes, although How to Succeed in Buisness... got rave reviews as well, so if an upset happens, I don't think the world will be shocked.

Best Play
Will Win - War Horse
Should Win - Jerusalem
Commentary - I appreciate the art of Jerusalem a little more than War Horse, but my guess is that Tony voters will go for the more popular choice of the stunning War Horse.

Best Revival of a Play
Will Win/Should Win - The Normal Heart
Commentary - The revival of The Normal Heart was simply stunning, and it should be rewarded for its effort with a Tony.

Best Actor in a Musical 
Should Win - Tony Sheldon "Priscilla , Queen of the Desert"
Will Win - Norbert Leo Butz "Catch Me If You Can"
Commentary - My personal favorite was Priscilla, and while this race is a close one, I actually think that Butz will win the prize with Sheldon not far behind. Also watch out for Gad and Henry, who could be dark horse contenders.

Best Actress in a Musical 
Should Win - Patina Miller "Sister Act"
Will Win - Sutton Foster "Anything Goes"
Commentary - Another tough race between two very deserving leading ladies. However, I think Foster will squeak this one out.

Best Actor in a Play
Should Win/Will Win - Mark Rylance "Jerusalem"
Commentary - Against bigger names like Al Pacino and Bobby Cannavale, the wonderful star performance of Mark Rylance should take the prize. Joe Mantello could sneak in and win.

Best Actress in a Play
Should Win/Will Win - Frances McDormand "Good People"
Commentary - The pure star power of McDormand could be enough, but you add in her always incredible performance in Good People, and you have a formula for Tony gold.

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Should Win/Will Win - John Larroquette "How To Suceed in Business..."
Commentary - I think that Rory O'Malley was hilarious, but I've always been a fan of Larroquette's, and while this is a tight race, I think Tony voters will agree with me.

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Should Win/Will Win - Laura Benanti "Women of the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown"
Commentary - Despite stiff competition, Benanti seems like the safest bet for the prize.

Best Featured Actor in a Play
Should Win - Billy Crudup "Arcadia"
Will Win - John Benjamin Hickey "The Normal Heart"
Commentary - My personal pick would be Crudup, but Hickey is the best bet to win.

Best Featured Actress in a Play
Should Win - Edie Falco "The House of Blue Leaves"
Will Win - Ellen Barkin "The Normal Heart"
Commentary - Probably the toughest race to predict, the Falco v. Barkin battle will come down to the wire. But my gut tells me the overall power of The Normal Heart will be enough to ensure Barkin's victory.

Best Director of a Musical - Casey Nicholaw and Trey Parker "The Book of Mormon"
Best Musical Score - The Book of Mormon
Best Book of a Musical - The Book of Mormon
Best Choreography - Anything Goes
Best Orchestrations - The Book of Mormon
Best Director of a Play - Marianne Elliott and Tom Morris "War Horse"
Best Scenic Design of a Musical - The Book of Mormon
Best Costume Design of a Musical - Priscilla, Queen of the Desert
Best Lighting Design of a Musical - The Book of Mormon
Best Sound Design of a Musical - The Book of Mormon
Best Scenic Design of a Play - War Horse
Best Costume Design of a Play - The Importance of Being Earnest
Best Lighting Design of a Play - War Horse
Best Sound Design of a Play - War Horse

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