Sunday, August 24, 2025

The Oscar Narrative: First 2026 Nomination Predictions - Best Actor

First 2026 Nomination Predictions
Timothee Chalamet "Marty Supreme"
George Clooney "Jay Kelly"
Michael B. Jordan "Sinners"
Leonardo DiCaprio "One Battle After Another"
Jeremy Allen White "Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere"

Other Contenders - Brendan Fraser "Rental Family", Wagner Moura "The Secret Agent", Dwayne Johnson "The Smashing Machine", Jesse Plemons "Bugonia", Daniel Day-Lewis "Anemone", Colin Farrell "The Ballad of the Small Player", Colin Farrell "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey", Oscar Isaac "Frankenstein", Ethan Hawke "Blue Moon", Denzel Washington "Highest 2 Lowest", Will Arnett "Is This Thing On?", Lee Byung-hun "No Other Choice", Matthew McConaughey "The Lost Bus", Dylan O'Brien "Twinless", Tonatiuh "The Kiss of the Spider Woman", Joel Edgerton "Train Dreams", Benicio Del Toro "The Phoenician Scheme", Ralph Fiennes "The Choral", Rami Malek "Nuremberg", Willem Dafoe "Late Flame", Idris Elba "A House of Dynamite", Paul Mescal "The History of Sound", Josh O'Connor "The Mastermind", Channing Tatum "Roofman", Robert Pattinson "The Drama", Michael Angarano "Sacramento", Michael Cera "Sacramento", Chris Evans "Materalists", Michael Fassbender "Black Bag", Han Gi-Chan "The Wedding Banquet", Tom Hiddleston "The Life of Chuck", Tim Key "The Ballad of Wallis Island", Robert Pattinson "Mickey 17", Brad Pitt "F1", Tim Robinson "Friendship", Karan Soni "A Nice Indian Boy", Aaron Taylor-Johnson "28 Years Later", Alfie Williams "28 Years Later", Bowen Yang "The Wedding Banquet"

Commentary - After losing the close race to Adrien Brody last year, will voters turn around and reward Timothee Chalamet? Marty Supreme does look like a great project. George Clooney has never won Best Actor, and he is playing a role fit for him in Jay Kelly. Michael B. Jordan, who has never managed an Oscar nomination, has a great role in Sinners, if it can maintain the momentum. Leonardo DiCaprio was shunned at the last minute for Killers of the Flower Moon, but returns with director Paul Thomas Anderson, which seems like a potent combo. Finally, after his awards success with The Bear, Jeremy Allen White has an intriguing role as Bruce Springsteen in the upcoming biopic. Beyond those five, Brendan Fraser has another intriguing role in Rental Family, Wagner Moura and Dwayne Johnson might have their Oscar breakthrough rules, and Jesse Plemons has a buzzed role in Yorgos Lanthimo's latest. A ton of other previous nominees and winners are hoping to return including Daniel Day-Lewis, Ethan Hawke, Denzel Washington, Matthew McConaughey, Ralph Fiennes, Willem Dafoe, Paul Mescal, Benicio Del Toro, Rami Malek, Michael Fassbender, and Brad Pitt. A bunch of great veterans are hoping to finally get their due including Oscar Isaac, Lee Byung-hun, Colin Farrell, Will Arnett, Dylan O'Brien, Idris Elba, Josh O'Connor, Channing Tatum, Robert Pattinson, Michael Angarano, Michael Cera, Chris Evans, Tim Key, Tim Robinson, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Tom Hiddleston, and Bowen Yang. Finally, don't discount new names and new faces like Han Gi-Chan, Karan Soni, Alfie Williams, and Tonatiuh. 

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