Pre-Guild Nomination Predictions
Yura Borisov "Anora"
Kieran Culkin "A Real Pain"
Edward Norton "A Complete Unknown"
Guy Pearce "The Brutalist"
Denzel Washington "Gladiator II"
Other Contenders - Clarence Maclin "Sing Sing", Jeremy Strong "The Apprentice", Stanley Tucci "Conclave", Adam Pearson "A Different Man", Jonathan Bailey "Wicked", John Lithgow "Conclave", Peter Sarsgaard "September 5", Brian Tyree Henry "The Fire Inside", Mark Eydelshteyn "Anora", Drew Starkey "Queer", Brandon Wilson "Nickel Boys", Dennis Quaid "The Substance"
Commentary - I think this race is currently a seven-person race, with a few outliers hoping to break the seven. Five of the six hit both the Critics Choice and the Golden Globes: Borisov, Culkin, Norton, Pearce, and Washington. That is why they are my current top five. SAG and BAFTA will surely complicate those five, but for now at least there is continuity. Maclin got in at Critics Choice, and I personally hope he makes the top five. Jeremy Strong got in at The Globes. Both are hoping to break the top five as the guilds reign in. Beyond those seven, Stanley Tucci or John Lithgow from Conclave could ride the film's popularity to the top five. Adam Pearson is a dark horse, Jonathan Bailey is popular, and Dennis Quaid could surprise. Previous nominees Brian Tyree Henry joins veteran Peters Sarsgaard, and potential first timers Drew Starkey, Brandon Wilson, and Mark Eydelshteyn.
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