Saturday, February 4, 2023

2023 Grammy Predictions: Pop, Dance/Electronica, Rock, Alternative

Best Pop Solo Performance
Will Win - Adele "Easy On Me"
Could Win - Harry Styles "As It Was" or Lizzo "About Damn Time"
Should Win - Adele "Easy On Me" or Lizzo "About Damn Time"
Commentary - Will Adele's Grammy supremacy end this year? That is the big question. If it does, look to Harry Styles or Lizzo to take the mantel. But until it does end, I think she will continue to dominate these pop categories, and maybe even the general ones. 

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
Will Win - ABBA "Don't Shut Me Down"
Could Win - Sam Smith and Kim Petras "Unholy"
Should Win - ABBA "Don't Shut Me Down"
Commentary - The Smith/Petras song has gotten a lot of buzz right at the end, and could upset, but I think the "ABBA has never won a Grammy" narrative, and the Record of the Year nomination will win out. 

Best Pop Vocal Album
Will Win - Adele "30"
Could Win - Harry Styles "Harry's House" or Lizzo "Special"
Should Win - Lizzo "Special"
Commentary - See Pop Solo Performance

Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album
Will Win - Diana Ross "Thank You"
Could Win - Michael Buble "Higher"
Should Win - Diana Ross "Thank You"
Commentary - Ross finally winning a Grammy will be a great moment. 

Best Dance/Electronica Recording
Will Win - Beyonce "Break My Soul"
Could Win - KAYTRANADA Featuring H.E.R. "Intimidated"
Should Win - Beyonce "Break My Soul"
Commentary - Duh. 

Best Dance/Electronica Album
Will Win - Beyonce "Renaissance"
Could Win - N/A
Should Win - Beyonce "Renaissance"
Commentary - Duh. 

Best Rock Performance
Will Win - Brandi Carlile "Broken Horses"
Could Win - Beck "Old Men" or Ozzy Osbourne "Patient Number 9"
Should Win - Brandi Carlile "Broken Horses"
Commentary - Don't bet against recent Grammy favorite Brandi Carlile. 

Best Rock Song
Will Win - Brandi Carlile "Broken Horses"
Could Win - Ozzy Osbourne "Patient Number 9"
Should Win - Brandi Carlile "Broken Horses"
Commentary - See Rock Performance

Best Rock Album
Will Win - Black Keys "Dropout Boogie"
Could Win - Ozzy Osbourne "Patient Number 9" or 
Should Win - Elvis Costello and The Imposters "The Boy Named If"
Commentary - Black Keys are always big hits with these voters, but legends like Osbourne and Costello could surprise. 

Best Alternative Music Performance
Will Win - Wet Leg "Chaise Longue" 
Could Win - Arctic Monkeys "There'd Better Be a Mirrorball" or Florence and the Machine "King"
Should Win - Big Thief "Certainty"
Commentary - Wet Leg's corresponding Best New Artist nod, and its nomination in Alternative Music Album puts it ahead of Arctic Monkey and Florence and the Machine. 

Best Alternative Music Album
Will Win - Wet Leg "Wet Leg"
Could Win - Arcade Fire "We" or Bjork "Fossora"
Should Win - Big Thief "Dragon New Warm Mountain I Believe You"
Commentary - Again Wet Leg seems to have the broader support, but Bjork is a legend, and Arcade Fire once upset in Album of the Year, so you cannot discount either. 

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