State of the Race: Updated Oscar Predictions (Main Categories)

Best Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
War Horse

Other Contenders - The Tree of Life, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, The Ides of March, Young Adult

Best Director
Stephen Daldry "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"
Michel Hazanavicius "The Artist"
Alexander Payne "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese "Hugo"
Steven Spielberg "War Horse"

Other Contenders - Terrence Malick "The Tree of Life", Woody Allen "Midnight in Paris", Bennett Miller "Moneyball", David Fincher "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo", Tate Taylor "The Help"

Best Actor
George Clooney "The Descendants"
Jean Dujardin "The Artist"
Michael Fassbender "Shame"
Gary Oldman "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"
Brad Pitt "Moneyball"

Other Contenders - Leonardo Dicaprio "J. Edgar", Michael Shannon "Take Shelter", Woody Harrelson "Rampart", Ryan Gosling "Drive/The Ides of March"

Best Actress
Viola Davis "The Help"
Meryl Streep "The Iron Lady"
Tilda Swinton "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
Charlize Theron "Young Adult"
Michelle Williams "My Week With Marilyn"

Other Contenders - Glenn Close "Albert Nobbs", Rooney Mara "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo", Felicity Jones "Like Crazy", Elizabeth Olsen "Martha Marcy May Marlene", Kirsten Dunst "Melancholia"

Best Supporting Actor
Albert Brooks "Drive"
Ben Kingsley "Hugo"
Patton Oswalt "Young Adult"
Christopher Plummer "Beginners"
Max von Sydow "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"

Other Contenders - Kenneth Branagh "My Week With Marilyn", Jonah Hill "Moneyball", Alan Rickman "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2", Philip Seymour Hoffman "The Ides of March/Moneyball", Nick Nolte "Warrior", Kevin Spacey "Margin Call", Stanley Tucci "Margin Call", David Thewlis "War Horse", Niels Astrup "War Horse",

Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bojo "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain "The Help"
Vanessa Redgrave "Coriolanus"
Octavia Spencer "The Help"
Shailene Woodley "The Descendants"

Other Contenders - Jessica Chastain "The Tree of Life/Take Shelter", Janet McTeer "Albert  Nobbs", Melissa McCarthy "Bridesmaids", Judy Greer "The Descendants", Sandra Bullock "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"