Sunday, October 25, 2009

State of the Race: Best Actress

Now that Hilary Swank has been officially eliminated, this means that there is an opening in the spots. I think 2 newcomers are starting to solidify themselves as locks. Of course I am speaking of Carey Mulligan for "An Education" and Gabourey Sidibe "Precious". Critics are hailing them as breaths of fresh air, and serious contenders for the top prize. While I still think Meryl Streep could go either way, most are still considering this a lead performance, either way (Lead or Supporting) her role in Julie & Julia is in. Abbie Cornish is still a distinct possibility, but her odds are less likely, because although it got great reviews, the buzz seems to had calmed down a lot, which hurts an unknown's chances. The last spot is a toss up. I am going with previous nominee, and the girl Steven Spieldberg predicted would win the Oscar, Saoirse Ronan, for The Lovely Bones. The verdict is still out on whether she'll be pushed as lead or supporting, but if the movie gets the reception I am expecting, she could be a sure-fired contender. Some other contenders include Annette Benning "Mother and Child", Marion Cotillard "Nine", Michelle Monaghan "Trucker", Tilda Swinton "Julia", Helen Mirren "The Last Station", Penelope Cruz "Broken Embraces", and Robin Wright Penn "The Private Lives of Pippa Lee".

Carey Mulligan "An Education" (Winner)
Gabourey Sidibe "Precious"
Meryl Streep "Julie & Julia"
Abbie Cornish "Bright Star"
Saoirse Ronan "The Lovely Bones"

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