Best Reality-Competition Series
Will Win - The Voice
Could Win - RuPaul's Drag Race or The Amazing Race
Should Win - RuPaul's Drag Race
Commentary - This is a race that doesn't change much. All those years that The Amazing Race won, and then The Voice has dominated since. I would not forget The Amazing Race and the newest entry RuPaul's Drag Race could be a sleeper (and deserves to be). But until the voters go another way, I pick The Voice.
Best Reality Host
Will Win - RuPaul Charles "RuPaul's Drag Race"
Could Win - Alec Baldwin "Match Game" or Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn "Project Runway"
Should Win - RuPaul Charles "RuPaul's Drag Race"
Commentary - Last year's upset by RuPaul was won of the best surprises of the three nights. Alec Baldwin is on such a roll that he could upset. But these voters repeat, and RuPaul is a true reality star. I think they reward him a second year in a row.
Best Structured Reality Series
Will Win - Shark Tank
Could Win - Who Do You Think You Are? or Lip Sync Battle
Should Win - Lip Sync Battle
Commentary - Once again, I think voters will continue to reward Shark Tank. They love to repeat, and I don't know if any of the other contenders are strong enough to take it over. Who Do You Think You Are feels like a threat, and Lip Sync Battle is a lot of fun, and is the most popular of the bunch in terms of media buzz. But, like I said in the Competition commentary, until voters go another way, I'm sticking with the proven winner.
Best Unstructured Reality Series
Will Win - Born This Way
Could Win - United Shades of America with W. Kamau Bell or RuPaul's Drag Race Untucked or Deadliest Catch
Should Win - United Shades of America with W. Kamau Bell
Commentary - Like the other three categories, I am picking a repeat winner, but this is one is a lot closer than the other ones. Born This Way is still a favorite, but with the political environment, I think that W. Kamau Bell, who did really well across these categories has a real shot at upsetting. I would also look out for perennial favorite Deadliest Catch, and RuPaul, who is clearly another favorite among these voters.