Sunday, November 22, 2015

The Oscar Narrative: November Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

November Predictions
Robert DeNiro "Joy"
Tom Hardy "The Revenant"
Michael Keaton "Spotlight"
Mark Ruffalo "Spotlight"
Mark Rylance "Bridge of Spies"

Other Contenders - Bradley Cooper "Joy", Sylvester Stallone "Creed", Idris Elba "Beasts of No Nation, Benicio Del Toro "Sicario", Jacob Tremblay "Room", Harvey Keitel "Youth", Jeff Daniels "Steve Jobs", Samuel L. Jackson "The Hateful Eight", Kurt Russell "The Hateful Eight", Bruce Dern "The Hateful Eight", Walton Goggins "The Hateful Eight", Demian Bichir 'The Hateful Eight", Christian Bale "The Big Short", Brad Pitt "The Big Short", Joel Edgerton "Black Mass", Paul Dano "Love & Mercy", Stanley Tucci "Spotlight", Liev Schreiber "Spotlight", John Slattery "Spotlight", Robert Redford "Truth", Emory Cohen "Brooklyn", Domnhall Gleeson "Brooklyn", Josh Brolin "Sicario", Harrison Ford "Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens", Adam Driver "Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens", Seth Rogen "Steve Jobs", Kyle Chandler "Carol", Michael Shannon "99 Homes", Jason Segal "The End of the Tour", Oscar Isaac "Ex Machina", Corey Hawkins "Straight Outta Compton", Paul Giamatti "Straight Outta Compton", Paul Giamatti "Love & Mercy", Tom Holland "In the Heart of the Sea", Benjamin Walker "In the Heart of the Sea", Edgar Ramirez "Joy"

Other Contenders - So Michael Keaton might finally win the Oscar they owe him for Birdman? The answer is yes. He might also be joined by Mark Ruffalo, who has rocketed up a lot of folks predictions recently, probably due to the fact that Spotlight is such a actor's piece that we assume that they are going to rake up in these categories. Tom Hardy is still holding strong, The Revenant sight unseen. Mark Rylance was one of the biggest parts of Bridge of Spies, and is a beloved actor who may get an Emmy nomination and an Oscar nomination for his first big television and film role in the same year. The last slot had been reserved for Bradley Cooper, because underestimating him in the past has cost me some major cred. But in all of the buzz coming for Joy, it is the legend Robert DeNiro that is getting all of the attention. So I am going with him for the obligatory David.O. Russell Best Supporting Actor slot. So those are the five, with a sixth. But there are tons of other potentials as this race is incredibly deep. Room is rising in the charts, and we have seen child actors get in here, so watch out for Jacob Tremblay, who is really a lead. Sylvester Stallone is suddenly in the running as Creed finally screened, and he, Jordan, and the film are getting great notices. Idris Elba is still on a lot of folks list, and apparently the numbers on Netflix are great. But that film is so rough to watch, its brilliant, but tough, and I'm not sure he can get in over the contenders from more palatable films for voters. Benicio Del Toro and Josh Brolin (as well as Emily Blunt in lead), should be in consideration for Sicario, but once again, not the most palatable film for voters. The Hateful Eight guys are all still in here, but I recently switched out Jackson, who had been holding a slot since last March for Ruffalo, who is a known entity. But Christoph Waltz won back to back Oscar for Tarantino films in this category, so if one of these guys emerges, watch out. Jeff Daniels and Seth Rogen are great in Steve Jobs, Joel Edgerton is the best part of Black Mass, Robert Redford is a convincing Dan Rather, and don't forget the other two Spotlight guys, or the rather large cast of the upcoming, but still unknown, In the Heart of the Sea. The Big Short has two big previous Oscar winners, Paul Dano could get in due to love for the nostalgia of Love & Mercy, and Jason Segal, the Straight Outta Compton guys, and the amazing Emory Cohen for Brooklyn could also get some attention.

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