Friday, October 18, 2024

The Oscar Narrative: Post 2025 Venice/Telluride/Toronto Nomination Predictions - Best Actress

The Oscar Narrative: Post 2025 Venice/Telluride/Toronto Nomination Predictions
Karla Sofía Gascón "Emilia Perez"
Nicole Kidman "Babygirl"
Angelina Jolie "Maria"
Mikey Madison "Anora"
Tilda Swinton "The Room Next Door" 

Other Contenders - Saoirse Ronan "The Outrun", Amy Adams "Nightbitch", Fernanda Torres "I'm Still Here", Demi Moore "The Substance", Cynthia Erivo "Wicked", Marianne Jean-Baptiste "Hard Truths", Julianne Moore "The Room Next Door", Ryan Destiny "The Fire Inside", June Squibb "Thelma", Zendaya "Challengers", Jodie Comer "The Bikeriders", Florence Pugh "We Live in Time", Robin Wright "Here", Lily Gladstone "Fancy Dance", Kate Winslet "Lee", Emma Stone "Kinds of Kindness", Kani Kusruti "All We Imagine As Light", Regina King "Shirley", Anya Taylor-Joy "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga"

Commentary - A fascinating race between old and new, shapes up to be one of the most interesting races of the season. Previous winners like Nicole Kidman, Tilda Swinton, an Angelina Jolie have fascinating roles in buzzed films out of the fall festival, all breathing new lives into astonishing careers. Mikey Madison is the big ingenue contender this year with a breakthrough role in Anora. Finally, Emilia Perez continues to gain traction (I was skeptical, but I am giving in), and Karla Sofia Gascon is the wildcard entry that could breakthrough in this category. Beyond those five, previous nominees and winners like Saoirse Ronan, Amy Adams, Cynthia Erivo, Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Julianne Moore, June Squibb, Kate Winslet, Emma Stone, Florence Pugh, Lily Gladstone, Robin Wright, and Regina King are all potent contenders. Mix that with newcomers and potential first timers like Anya Taylor-Joy, Kani Kusruti, Ryan Destiny, Jodie Comer, and Zendaya, and you have a potent list of contenders. 

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