2012 Nomination Predictions
1. Modern Family
2. Curb Your Enthusiasm
3. Parks & Recreation
4. The Big Bang Theory
5. 30 Rock
6. Louie
Other Contenders - Glee, Veep, Girls, New Girl, Enlightened, Nurse Jackie
Commentary - I honestly feel pretty good about the first five series getting in. Modern Family is clearly the frontrunner, although longtime Emmy favorite Curb Your Enthusiasm returns this year, and has a great set of episodes that could upset the apple cart. Both The Big Bang Theory and Parks & Recreation got into the race last year, and although there are a slew of new shows such as Girls, New Girl, and others hoping to knock them off, I think both have enough strength to hang on for at least one more year. Finally, I think that 30 Rock, which continues to be an Emmy favorite, and with the announcement that this coming season is its last, Emmy voters only have two more years to reward it. Its the final spot that I think is tricky. The aforementioned Girls is too young and female skewed probably for male voters, New Girl is too quirky, Enlightened doesn't have enough viewers, and Veep, probably the strongest of this list, may be just too crude and not as blow-your-mind funny as expected. The one I am worried about is Glee. This last season was simply dreadful, but it did get a SAG and PGA nod eariler this year, and will probably rack up in the Creative Emmys, meaning it could get in again. But my money is on a different show. Louis C.K. is now one of the hottest stars on television, he will probably get at least three individual nods. And considering how popular it was last year, I think that it has gained enough support to surprise a few people and get a Comedy Series nomination.
I agree that 30 Rock, Big Bang, Curb, Parks and Modern Family will get in. But again it's that sixth slot that's a hard one, but I'll agree with you that Louie is the best choice for the Emmys.
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