Sunday, October 11, 2026

The Oscar Narrative - Post Venice/Telluride/Toronto Nomination Predictions: Best Actress

Post Venice/Telluride/Toronto Nomination Predictions
Ruth Madeley "Being Heumann"
Julianne Moore "The Debut"
Inde Navarrette "Obsession"
Renate Reinsve "Fjord"
Olivia Wilde "The Invite"

Other Contenders - Virginia Efira "All of the Sudden", Sandra Huller "Rose", Sandra Huller "Fatherland", Rosalind Eleazar "Misty Green", Emily Blunt "Disclosure Day", Léa Seydoux "Gentle Monster", Marion Bailey "Tender Loving Care", Carrie Coon "The Liberation", Daisy Edgar-Jones "Sense and Sensibility",  Jeon Do-yeon "Possible Love", Meryl Streep "The Devil Wears Prada 2", Jessica Lange "Long Day's Journey into Night", Olivia Colman "Wicker", Zendaya "The Drama", Mason Reeves "Josephine", Mallori Johnson "Is God Is", Kara Young "Is God Is", Penelope Cruz "Bunker"

Commentary - Julianne Moore has had many Oscar nominations, and might be the next great actor two win a second one for The Debut. Olivia Wilde could be the next artist to get acting, writing, and maybe a directing nod in the same year for The Invite. Being Heumann is the Sian Heder follow-up to her Oscar-winning CODA, and Ruth Madeley could be this year's Troy Kotsur. Fjord seems to have lost some steam since Cannes, but Renate Reinsve has broken through and repeat nods tend to follow. Finally, I am not sure if Obsession is going to have the Sinners treatment, but Inde Navarrette is going to make a case for her inclusion. Beyond those tentative five, Virginia Efira has been getting a lot of buzz for Hamaguchi's latest, Sandra Huller has two great opportunities, Emily Blunt could return, and Rosalind Eleazar is getting a lot of deserved buzz. Previous nominees and winners like Meryl Streep, Jessica Lange, Olivia Colman, and Penelope Cruz are always possibilities. Plus a great mixture of veterans and newcomers ike Marion Bailey, Carrie Coon, Lea Seydoux, Daisy Edgar-Jones, Jeon Do-yeon, Kara Young, Malori Johnson, Mason Reeves and Zendaya are always possibilities. 

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