Could Win - Nicole Kidman "Hemingway and Gelhorn" or Alfre Woodard "Steel Magnolias"
Commentary - Nicole Kidman was well-liked enough by SAG members to manage a nomination for The Paperboy, which is not exactly an awards magnet. Alfre Woodard is beloved among the actors of the television community. She has been nominated for 16 Emmys and won four of them, and six SAG nominations, half of which she has taken home. That is a stellar record, so don't be surprised if she pulls off an upset here (and becomes an Emmy frontrunner whether she wins or not). But I think that Julianne Moore's stunning portrayal of Sarah Palin, which has already won her an Emmy and a Golden Globe, will be too much for either Kidman or Woodard to overcome.
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