Friday, June 10, 2016

2016 Tony Predictions: Best Musical and Best Play

Best Musical
Will Win - Hamilton
Could Win - Shuffle Along
Commentary - Duh!

Best Play
Will Win - The Humans
Could Win - Eclipsed
Commentary - Eclipsed is the little play that could, but Joe Mantello and Stephan Karam's  The Humans is bolstered by a ton of buzz, will do well in other categories building towards a consensus, and received rave reviews. Plus, Stephen Karam is a rookie star on the rise, with a new show starting in October (A revival of The Cherry Orchard), and Joe Mantello is a legend. I think it easily wins this award.

Wednesday, June 8, 2016

2016 Tony Predictions: Best Revival of A Musical and Play

Best Revival of a Musical
Will Win - The Color Purple

Could Win - She Loves Me

Commentary - Both of these productions did really well with nominations, but I think that momentum is on The Color Purple's side. If anything, most reviewers noted that it not only revived the original, but drastically improved it. Plus, it has a better shot it other categories compared to the overall support for She Loves Me.

Best Revival of a Play
Will Win - A View From the Bridge

Could Win - Long Day's Journey Into Night, The Crucible, Blackbird

Commentary - A really great crop of plays this year makes for an interesting race, particularly between A View From the Bridge and Long Day's Journey Into Night. Both have star power, both well-received. I am sticking with  A View From the Bridge for now, but I would not be surprised at a different result.

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

2016 Tony Predictions: Best Actor and Actress in a Musical

Best Actor in a Musical
Will Win - Lin-Manuel Miranda "Hamilton"
Could Win - Leslie Odom "Hamilton" and Danny Burstein "Fiddler on the Roof"
Commentary - This is the toughest race of the night. Of the two Hamilton folks, it just seems like Miranda is in the lead. Reviews actually suggest in terms of acting it is probably Odom, but Miranda is everywhere, he is the biggest name in pop culture at the moment, and I think he wins. But there is another choice besides the two Hamilton guys. If they split the vote, which is not out of the question, then it is Danny Burstein, who has done well in precursors, who wins the Tony.

Best Actress in a Musical
Will Win - Cynthia Erivo "The Color Purple"
Could Win - Laura Benanti "She Loves Me", Phillipa Soo "Hamilton", or Jessie Mueller "Waitress"
Commentary - Benanti and Mueller are Tony-winning favorites in popular shows with lots of nominations. And you cannot discount the power of Hamilton, so look out for Soo in her Broadway debut. But I think it is another Broadway debut that will win the Tony. The Color Purple when it first debuted on Broadway last decade did well with Tony voters, and LaChanze won a Tony for this same role. But in hindsight it was seen as a bloated show that, despite a lot of great elements, did not hold up. But the revival apparently trimmed down the excesses, impeccably cast its characters, and found the real center of this incredible story. Erivo is the center of this, and apparently she knocks it out of the park. I think she wins her first of I'm sure many Tony Awards.

Monday, June 6, 2016

The 61st Annual Drama Desk Award Winners

Outstanding Play
The Humans

Outstanding Musical
Shuffle Along

Outstanding Revival of a Play
A View from the Bridge

Outstanding Revival of a Musical
She Loves Me

Outstanding Actor in a Play
Frank Langella, The Father

Outstanding Actress in a Play
Jessica Lange, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Outstanding Actor in a Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof

Outstanding Actress in a Musical
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple

Outstanding Featured Actor in a Play
Michael Shannon, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Outstanding Featured Actress in a Play
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Outstanding Featured Actor in a Musical
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress

Outstanding Featured Actress in a Musical
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me

Outstanding Director of a Play
Ivo van Hove, A View from the Bridge

Outstanding Director of a Musical
(TIE) John Doyle, The Color Purple and Bartlett Sher, Fiddler on the Roof

Outstanding Choreography
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along

Outstanding Music
Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Bright Star

Outstanding Lyrics
Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, Dear Evan Hansen

Outstanding Book of a Musical
John Caird, Daddy Long Legs

Outstanding Orchestrations
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me

Outstanding Music in a Play
Philip Glass, The Crucible

Outstanding Set Design for a Play
Christopher Oram, Hughie

Outstanding Set Design for a Musical
David Rockwell, She Loves Me

Outstanding Costume Design for a Play
Anita Yavich, The Legend of Georgia McBride

Outstanding Costume Design for a Musical
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along

Outstanding Lighting Design for a Play
Justin Townsend, The Humans

Outstanding Lighting Design for a Musical
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Outstanding Projection Design 
Finn Ross, American Psycho

Outstanding Sound Design for a Play
Fitz Patton, The Humans

Outstanding Sound Design for a Musical
Dan Moses Schreier, American Psycho

Outstanding Wig and Hair Design
Mia M. Neal, Shuffle Along

Outstanding Solo Performance
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Fully Committed

Unique Theatrical Experience
That Physics Show

SPECIAL AWARDS

The Humans – Special Drama Desk Award for Outstanding Ensemble

The Royale – Special Drama Desk Award for Outstanding Ensemble

Sheldon Harnick – Special Drama Desk Award

Camp Broadway – Special Drama Desk Award

Danai Gurira – Sam Norkin Award

2016 Tony Predictions: Best Actor and Actress in a Play

Best Actor in a Play
Will Win - Frank Langella "The Father"
Could Win - Jeff Daniels "Blackbird" or Mark Strong "A View From the Bridge"
Commentary - This is a tough five-way race, with each guy making a good case for a Tony win. I think Daniels, a respected and under-rewarded actor is a real dark horse here. That being said, Frank Langella is a three-time Tony winner, a stage legend, and just won the Drama Desk Award last night. In a close race, I'm leaning towards Langella to win his fourth.

Best Actress in a Play
Will Win - Jessica Lange "Long Day's Journey Into Night"
Could Win - Lupita Nyong'o "Eclipsed"
Commentary - Two Oscar winners face off in this fierce race. Nyong'o proved she is not a one-hit wonder in the little-play-that-could Eclipsed. But Jessica Lange returns to the stage for the first time in over a decade, she is a living acting legend, and I think she completes the triple crown of acting with a Tony win.

Sunday, June 5, 2016

2016 Tony Predictions: Best Featured Actor and Actress

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Will Win - Daveed Diggs "Hamilton"
Could Win - Any of the other four
Commentary - Consensus is building around Diggs, as the standout of the Hamilton bunch, but this looks like a close race where any of the Hamilton guys could prevail, or they could cancel each other out leading to a Dixon or Fitzgerald victory. Just as the Fun Home girls.

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Will Win - Renee Elise Goldsberry "Hamilton"
Could Win - Danielle Brooks "The Color Purple" or Jane Krakowski "She Loves Me"
Commentary - Have I mentioned yet that Hamilton is probably going to sweep the Tonys this year? It looks like the sweep will include Goldsberry along for the ride, although previous winner Krakowski or Danielle Brooks in her Broadway debut keep the race interesting.

Best Featured Actor in a Play
Will Win - Reed Birney "The Humans"
Could Win - Michael Shannon "Long Day's Journey Into Night"
Commentary - This is tight race between two acting veterans. Shannon is the most recognizable of the two, an Oscar nominee, and a movie star. But Birney is a Broadway veteran, with a previous nomination, and has the momentum of the two.

Best Featured Actress in a Play
Will Win - Jayne Houdyshell "The Humans"
Could Win - Saycon Sengbloh "Eclipsed" or Megan Hilty "Noises Off"
Commentary - Megan Hilty finally gets a Tony nomination (for a play of all things!), and Saycon Sengbloh is also a first-time nominee, both of whom have had successful stage careers so far. But veteran Jayne Houdyshell, who earned her third nomination this year, is getting rave reviews, and looks to be a hard one to beat.

Saturday, June 4, 2016

2016 Emmy Contenders: Best Actress in a Comedy Series

2016 Contenders
Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Veep"
Amy Schumer "Inside Amy Schumer"
Lily Tomlin "Grace and Frankie"
Jane Fonda "Grace and Frankie"
Ellie Kemper "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt"
Melissa McCarthy "Mike & Molly"
Anna Faris "Mom"
Gina Rodriguez "Jane the Virgin"
Mindy Kaling "The Mindy Project"
Rachel Bloom "Crazy Ex-Girlfriend"
Tracee Ellis Ross "black-ish"
Lena Dunham "Girls"
Michaela Watkins "Casual"
Jamie Lee Curtis "Scream Queens"
Emma Roberts "Scream Queens"
Martha Plimpton "The Real O'Neals"
Constance Wu "Fresh Off the Boat"
Aya Cash "You're the Worst"
Rashida Jones "Angie Tribeca"
Betsy Brandt "Life in Pieces"
Lennon Parham "Playing House"
Jessica St. Clair "Playing House"
Emmy Rossum "Shameless"
Ilana Glazer "Broad City"
Abbi Jacobson "Broad City"
Kristen Schaal "The Last Man on Earth"
Laurie Metcalf "Getting On"
Sharon Horgan "Catastrophe"
Sutton Foster "Younger"
Wendi McLendon-Covey "The Goldbergs"
America Ferrera "Superstore"
Eva Longoria "Telenovela"
Carrie Preston "Crowded"

Commentary - There is going to be a moment where Julia Louis-Dreyfus just stops winning. I don't think it is this year, but she is hitting that point where it could happen at any time. With three slots (Falco, Poehler, and Kudrow not returning), this race is probably the most open of the major ones, and it could lead to some overdue recognition. Amy Schumer should return, and she is Louis-Dreyfus' biggest threat. Tomlin should also come back as well, and I think her co-star Jane Fonda will join her this year. Ellie Kemper just had too much competition this year, but they clearly like the show, and I think she easily gets in this time (and honestly should be in the running for the win). Melissa McCarthy could return, and Anna Faris could finally break in. The CW now has two Golden Globe winning actresses still vying for a slot, and while both are great, I wonder if that network will every breakthrough. Mindy Kaling survived the Hulu jump, Tracee Ellis Ross is magnificent, Lena Dunham brought Girls back to its glory this season, Micheala Watkins was engaging, and Constance Wu and Aya Cash avoided the sophomore slump. The Scream Queens, Playing House, and Broad City duo are in the mix, as is Rashida Jones, Laurie Metcalf, Kristen Schall, and hopefully the great Sutton Foster for Younger.

2016 Emmy Contenders: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

2016 Contenders
Jonathan Banks "Better Call Saul"
Peter Dinklage "Game of Thrones"
Christian Slater "Mr. Robot"
Jim Carter "Downton Abbey"
Michael Kelly "House of Cards"
Alan Cumming "The Good Wife"
Mandy Patinkin "Homeland"
Rupert Friend "Homeland"
F. Murray Abraham "Homeland"
Jon Voight "Ray Donovan"
Ben Mendolsohn "Bloodline"
Ray Romano "Vinyl"
Alan Alda "Horace and Pete"
Steve Wright "Horace and Pete"
Kurt Metzger "Horace and Pete"
Tobias Menzies "Outlander"
Rufus Sewell "The Man in High Castle"
Noah Emmerich "The Americans"
Rob James-Collier "Downton Abbey"
Brendan Coyle "Downton Abbey"
Kit Harington "Game of Thrones"
Iain Glen "Game of Thrones"
Nikolaj Coster-Waldau "Game of Thrones"
Isaac Hempstead Wright "Game of Thrones"
Michael McKean "Better Call Saul"
Patrick Fabian "Better Call Saul"
Michael Mando "Better Call Saul"
Paul Ben-Victor "Vinyl"
P.J. Byrne "Vinyl"
Max Casella "Vinyl"
James Jagger "Vinyl"
Ato Essandoh "Vinyl"
Jack Quaid "Vinyl"
J.C. MacKenzie "Vinyl"
Norbert Leo Butz "Mercy Street"
Gary Cole "Mercy Street"
Beau Bridges "Masters of Sex"
Joel Kinnaman "House of Cards"
Andre Holland "The Knick"
Pedro Pascal "Narcos"
Christopher Eccleston "The Leftovers"
Chris Zylka "The Leftovers"
Kevin Carroll "The Leftovers"
Steven Yeun "The Walking Dead"
Chandler Riggs "The Walking Dead"
Norman Reedus "The Walking Dead"
Tony Goldwyn "Scandal"
Guillermo Diaz "Scandal"
Joshua Malina "Scandal"
Jeff Perry "Scandal"
Billy Brown "How to Get Away With Murder"
Alfred Enoch "How to Get Away With Murder"
Jack Falahee "How to Get Away With Murder"
Matt McGorry "How to Get Away With Murder"
Charlie Weber "How to Get Away With Murder"
Bryshere Y. Gray "Empire"
Jussie Smollett "Empire"
Trai Byers "Empire"
Joshua Jackson "The Affair"
Hugh Dancy "The Path"
Justin Chambers "Grey's Anatomy"
James Pickens Jr. "Grey's Anatomy"
Kevin McKidd "Grey's Anatomy"
Jesse Williams "Grey's Anatomy"
Cliff Curtis "Fear the Walking Dead"
Ruben Blades "Fear the Walking Dead"
Frank Dillane "Fear the Walking Dead"
Lorenzo James Henrie "Fear the Walking Dead"

Commentary - All six guys from last year are returning, although Bloodline's middling second season could ruin Mendelsohn's repeat. If those guys don't get in who does? The guys from Homeland should be in consideration for a great season. Jon Voight could return, and Ray Romano could return to the Emmy race in general with Vinyl. There are the guys from Game of Thrones, Horace and Pete (especially Alan Alda), Better Call Saul, The Leftovers, The Walking Dead, Mercy Street, Scandal, How to Get Away With Murder, Fear the Walking Dead, Vinyl, Beau Bridges, Tobias Menzies, Noah Emmerich, Rufus Sewell, Andre Holland, and Pedro Pascal. But I honestly think there are only a few guys for a slot that might not be open anyway.

2016 Tony Predictions: Directing, Book of Musical, and Original Score

Best Director of a Musical
Will Win - Thomas Kail "Hamilton"
Could Win - John Doyle "The Color Purple" or George C. Wolfe "Shuffle Along"

Best Director of a Play
Will Win - Joe Mantello "The Humans"
Could Win - Ivo Van Hove "A View From the Bridge"

Best Book of a Musical
Will Win - Lin-Manuel Miranda "Hamilton"
Could Win - George C. Wolfe "Shuffle Along" or Julian Fellowes "School of Rock"

Best Original Score
Will Win - Lin-Manuel Miranda "Hamilton"
Could Win - Steve Martin and Edie Brickell "Bright Star"

Friday, June 3, 2016

2016 Tony Predictions: Technical Awards, Orchestrations, and Choreography

Best Choreography
Will Win - Andy Blankenbuehler "Hamilton"
Could Win - Savion Glover "Shuffle Along"

Best Orchestrations
Will Win - Alex Lacamoire "Hamilton"
Could Win - Daryl Waters "Shuffle Along"

Best Costume Design in a Play
Will Win - Jane Greenwood "Long Day's Journey Into Night"
Could Win - Clint Ramos "Eclipsed" or Tom Scutt "King Charles III"

Best Costume Design in a Musical
Will Win - Paul Tazewell "Hamilton"
Could Win - Ann Roth "Shuffle Along"

Best Lighting Design in a Play
Will Win - Jan Versweyveld "A View From the Bridge"
Could Win - Justin Townsend "The Humans" or Jan Versweyveld "The Crucible"

Best Lighting Design in a Musical
Will Win - Howell Binkley "Hamilton"
Could Win - Jules Fisher and Peggy Eisenhauer "Shuffle Along"

Best Scenic Design in a Play
Will Win - David Zinn "The Humans"
Could Win - Beowulf Borritt "Therese Raquin" or Jan Versweyveld "A View From the Bridge"

Best Scenic Design in a Musical
Will Win - David Rockwell "She Loves Me"
Could Win - David Korins "Hamilton"