2019 Emmy Predictions: Best Actor and Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie

Best Actor in Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win - Jharrel Jerome "When They See Us"
Could Win - Jared Harris "Chernobyl" or Mahershala Ali "True Detective"
Should Win - Jerome or Harris
Commentary - This race has changed so much in the last couple of months. Jharrel Jerome was barely a nominee according to the odds, and now he is the front runner to win his first Emmy award. When They See Us is on such an astronomical rise in terms of the Emmy awards, and Jerome is the beating heart of the show. His performance is so emotionally compelling, so utterly devastating, that voters will be drawn to him. I also think that veteran Jared Harris could ride the Chernobyl upward rise, and never discount Mahershala Ali. He has just won the Oscar, and even though True Detective didn't have quite the Emmy impact this year that some thought it would, never discount the movie star at the Emmys.

Best Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie
Will Win - Michelle Williams "Fosse/Verdon"
Could Win - Patricia Arquette "Escape At Dannemora" or Amy Adams "Sharp Objects" or Niecy Nash "When They See Us"
Should Win - Williams
Commentary - This is a heated four-way race that could go any which way. Arquette led this race after sweeping the fall awards, and is still very much in the running. I would not discount Amy Adams, because movie stars do well with Emmy voters. Finally, Niecy Nash has snagged several surprise Emmy nominations in recent years, and is clearly a well-liked veteran with voters. Plus, the normally funny actress is truly playing against type which actors love. But in the end, I think that Michelle Williams will squeak this one out. She doesn't have internal competition (like Nash), is in a series that is fresh on voters minds (unlike Adams or Arquette), and she is playing a real-life person in a series about show business. This feels like the perfect formula for Emmy voters, who clearly love Fosse/Verdon, love Michelle Williams (she is also a movie star like Adams), and she absolutely knocks it out of the park. In a tight race, I pick Williams for the win.