Should Win: Lady Gaga "The Fame/Monster" or Arcade Fire "The Suburbs" or Lady Antebellum "Need You Now"
Will Win: Eminem "Recovery"
Commentary: While Eminem's Recovery was miles above his previous effort, it is no where near his past efforts, or near the above mentioned contenders of Gaga, LA, and AF, all of whom deserve to take home this prize over Slim Shady. However, Eminem leads in nominations, and is sure to pick up at least one, possibly more.
Song of the Year
Will Win: Lady Antebellum "Need You Now:
Should Win - Cee Lo "Fuck You"
Commentary: I would love to see Cee Lo win for his infectious hit, but my guess is that the well-done LA track Need You Now is the safer track. Watch out for Eminem and Rihanna though, especially if a sweep is in the works.
Record of the Year
Will Win - Eminem feat. Rihanna "Love the Way You Lie"
Should Win - Jay-Z feat. Alicia Keys "Empire State of Mind"
Commentary - Love the Way You Lie is probably too big to ignore, but Empire State of Mind was an anthem for the generations, and should, and possibly could steal this one away.
Best New Artist
Will Win - Drake or Justin Bieber
Should Win - Florence + the Machine
Commentary - My gut tells me that Bieber will win, an unfortunate embarassment for the Recording Academy, but my hope is that the inventive Florence and the Machine beats out the bigger dogs in the fight to take home the gold.
Best Short Form Music Video
Will Win/Should Win - Lady Gaga "Bad Romance"
Commentary - Because anyone else would simply be wrong
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